football · world-cup
BetaWorld Cup Winner
Total volume: $4.03B·Liquidity: $33.00M·Resolves: 20/07/2026
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Sports comparison is in beta
Real fixtures pulled from ESPN; live odds from DraftKings today, more US books (FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, bet365) filling in as ESPN publishes them. Crypto sportsbook adapters (Cloudbet, Stake, Roobet, Sportsbet.io) are next. Pre-match only. Report anything odd on Telegram.
Outcomes — Polymarket implied probability
| # | Outcome | Prob % | Decimal odds | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 32.9% | 3.04 | $98.64M |
| 2 | Spain | 18.8% | 5.33 | $91.59M |
| 3 | Argentina | 17.8% | 5.60 | $105.13M |
| 4 | England | 14.6% | 6.83 | $85.56M |
| 5 | Norway | 5.9% | 17.09 | $113.96M |
| 6 | Colombia | 3.4% | 29.85 | $99.31M |
| 7 | Morocco | 2.8% | 36.36 | $136.07M |
| 8 | Belgium | 2.3% | 44.44 | $115.73M |
| 9 | Switzerland | 0.9% | 105.26 | $101.48M |
| 10 | Egypt | 0.3% | 400.00 | $140.97M |
How to read
Each outcome has a YES-share price between $0 and $1 which is the implied probability the outcome occurs. A $0.33 price → 33% probability → decimal odds 3.03. Unlike a sportsbook, Polymarket applies no margin (vig) — the probabilities of mutually-exclusive outcomes sum close to 100% (clean).