football · world-cup
BetaWorld Cup: Spain Stage of Elimination
Total volume: $1.73M·Liquidity: $307.2K·Resolves: 19/07/2026
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Sports comparison is in beta
Real fixtures pulled from ESPN; live odds from DraftKings today, more US books (FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, bet365) filling in as ESPN publishes them. Crypto sportsbook adapters (Cloudbet, Stake, Roobet, Sportsbet.io) are next. Pre-match only. Report anything odd on Telegram.
Outcomes — Polymarket implied probability
| # | Outcome | Prob % | Decimal odds | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Will Spain finish in some other position in the World Cup | 50.0% | 2.00 | $0 |
| 2 | Spain | 17.5% | 5.71 | $12.5K |
How to read
Each outcome has a YES-share price between $0 and $1 which is the implied probability the outcome occurs. A $0.33 price → 33% probability → decimal odds 3.03. Unlike a sportsbook, Polymarket applies no margin (vig) — the probabilities of mutually-exclusive outcomes sum close to 100% (clean).