football · world-cup
BetaWorld Cup: Nation of Top Goalscorer
Total volume: $2.07M·Liquidity: $250.0K·Resolves: 20/08/2026
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Sports comparison is in beta
Real fixtures pulled from ESPN; live odds from DraftKings today, more US books (FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, bet365) filling in as ESPN publishes them. Crypto sportsbook adapters (Cloudbet, Stake, Roobet, Sportsbet.io) are next. Pre-match only. Report anything odd on Telegram.
Outcomes — Polymarket implied probability
| # | Outcome | Prob % | Decimal odds | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | a player representing France | 46.5% | 2.15 | $90.0K |
| 2 | a player representing Argentina | 35.5% | 2.82 | $93.4K |
| 3 | a player representing Norway | 10.1% | 9.90 | $80.9K |
| 4 | a player representing England | 8.0% | 12.58 | $61.8K |
| 5 | a player representing Spain | 0.8% | 133.33 | $57.1K |
| 6 | a player representing Belgium | 0.5% | 200.00 | $61.9K |
| 7 | a player representing Switzerland | 0.2% | 500.00 | $788.8K |
| 8 | a player representing Morocco | 0.1% | 2000.00 | $98.3K |
| 9 | a player representing Egypt | 0.1% | 2000.00 | $38.4K |
| 10 | a player representing Colombia | 0.1% | 2000.00 | $46.5K |
How to read
Each outcome has a YES-share price between $0 and $1 which is the implied probability the outcome occurs. A $0.33 price → 33% probability → decimal odds 3.03. Unlike a sportsbook, Polymarket applies no margin (vig) — the probabilities of mutually-exclusive outcomes sum close to 100% (clean).