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baseball · mlb
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MLB: ERA Leader

Total volume: $1.74M·Liquidity: $34.8K·Resolves: 28/09/2026
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Sports comparison is in beta

Real fixtures pulled from ESPN; live odds from DraftKings today, more US books (FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, bet365) filling in as ESPN publishes them. Crypto sportsbook adapters (Cloudbet, Stake, Roobet, Sportsbet.io) are next. Pre-match only. Report anything odd on Telegram.

Outcomes — Polymarket implied probability
#OutcomeProb %Decimal oddsVolume
1Will Shohei Ohtani lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season13.5%7.41$4.1K
2Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season8.1%12.42$1.8K
3Will Cristopher Sánchez lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season5.9%16.95$6.8K
4Will Paul Skenes lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season4.3%23.26$2.4K
5Will Eduardo Rodriguez lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season4.3%23.53$214
6Will Max Fried lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season3.4%29.41$92
7Will Tarik Skubal lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season2.9%35.09$566
8Will Garrett Crochet lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season2.7%37.04$123
9Will Taj Bradley lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season1.7%60.61$106
10Will José Soriano lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season1.4%74.07$1.5K
11Will Michael Wacha lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season1.3%80.00$126
12Will Bryan Woo lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season1.1%86.96$629.4K
13Will Bryce Elder lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season1.1%90.91$151
14Will Seth Lugo lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season1.1%95.24$409
15Will Andrew Abbott lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season0.9%117.65$742
16Will Dylan Cease lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season0.9%117.65$86
17Will Matthew Boyd lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season0.8%125.00$83
18Will Reynaldo López lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season0.8%125.00$90
19Will Nolan McLean lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season0.8%125.00$206
20Will Logan Webb lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season0.8%133.33$96
21Will Brayan Bello lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season0.8%133.33$89
22Will Hunter Brown lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season0.7%142.86$508
23Will Jeffrey Springs lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season0.7%142.86$1.09M
24Will Connelly Early lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season0.7%142.86$83
25Will Jacob deGrom lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season0.6%166.67$440
26Will Carmen Mlodzinski lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season0.6%166.67$366
27Will Nick Pivetta lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season0.5%181.82$96
28Will Freddy Peralta lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season0.4%222.22$85
29Will Gavin Williams lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season0.4%222.22$93
30Will Merrill Kelly lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season0.4%222.22$86
31Will Chad Patrick lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season0.4%222.22$83
32Will Clay Holmes lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season0.4%285.71$288
33Will Joe Ryan lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season0.3%333.33$86
34Will Emerson Hancock lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season0.3%333.33$103
35Will Carlos Rodón lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season0.1%666.67$95
How to read

Each outcome has a YES-share price between $0 and $1 which is the implied probability the outcome occurs. A $0.33 price → 33% probability → decimal odds 3.03. Unlike a sportsbook, Polymarket applies no margin (vig) — the probabilities of mutually-exclusive outcomes sum close to 100% (clean).