December 31
$35.6M volNo—
93.5%
Yes—
6.5%
Politics⏱ closes in 5mo
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will re…
24h volume
$381.4K
Total volume
$62.0M
Liquidity
$1.1M
Markets
6
31 de dez. de 2026
AliensPoliticsCultureScience
📊Markets and probabilities
June 30
$11.2M volNo—
100.0%
Yes—
0.0%
May 31
$8.7M volNo—
100.0%
Yes—
0.0%
September 30
$2.5M volNo—
95.9%
Yes—
4.2%
March 31
$1.9M volNo—
100.0%
Yes—
0.0%
April 30
$1.9M volNo—
100.0%
Yes—
0.0%
How to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).