Polymarket · live
What the crowd actually thinks — real-time probabilities
The world's largest prediction market condensed into one dashboard. Politics, sports, crypto, tech: what global consensus rates as true, today. No vig, no margin — just YES-share price = probability.
Active events
921
12,295 markets
24h volume
$188.8M
$529.9M liquidity
Top gainer 24h
—
gathering baseline
Top loser 24h
—
gathering baseline
⚡Big movers alert · 24h
See all →24h movement alerts: baseline snapshot captured — movers populate after the next 24-hour cycle.
Browse by category
🔥Trending now
top 6 by 24h volumeSports⏱ 11d
World Cup Winner
France
33%
Argentina
19%
Spain
19%
$69.1M · 24h60 mkts
Sports
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Yes
100%
No
0%
$31.9M · 24h1 mkts
Politics⏱ 5mo
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)
Starmer - UK PM
97%
None before 2027
0%
Petro - Colombia President
0%
$6.0M · 24h24 mkts
Politics⏱ 28mo
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
20%
Marco Rubio
14%
Gavin Newsom
12%
$4.1M · 24h128 mkts
Sports⏱ 1d
France vs. Morocco - More Markets
France
79%
Morocco
22%
$3.8M · 24h22 mkts
Sports⏱ 1d
France vs. Morocco - Exact Score
France 1 - 0 Morocco
14%
France 2 - 0 Morocco
13%
France 1 - 1 Morocco
12%
$3.7M · 24h17 mkts
📋More active markets
24 sorted by volumeFrance vs. Morocco
France · 3 mkts
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Abiy Ahmed · 33 mkts
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Fery
Arthur Fery · 25 mkts
Fed Decision in July?
No change · 5 mkts
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev
Alexander Zverev · 25 mkts
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers · 12 mkts
Bitcoin above ___ on July 8?
60,000 · 11 mkts
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 15 · 5 mkts
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. · 128 mkts
World Cup: Golden Boot Winner
Kylian Mbappe · 80 mkts
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Xtreme Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A
Xtreme Gaming · 29 mkts
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom · 128 mkts
Next French Presidential Election
Édouard Philippe · 128 mkts
Norway vs. England - More Markets
England · 45 mkts
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Aurora (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B
Nigma Galaxy · 26 mkts
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31 · 7 mkts
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs PlayTime (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B
L1ga Team · 26 mkts
What price will Bitcoin hit in July?
↑ 62,500 · 21 mkts
Norway vs. England
England · 3 mkts
Spain vs. Belgium - More Markets
Over · 45 mkts
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei · 123 mkts
NBA: LeBron James Next Team
Cleveland Cavaliers · 36 mkts
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?
↑ $70 · 20 mkts
World Cup: Nation to Reach Final
France · 48 mkts