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Politics⏱ closes in 23d

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Transit calls include cont…

24h volume
$137.8K
Total volume
$703.5K
Liquidity
$258.6K
Markets
6
31 de jul. de 2026
OilIranTrumpHormuzGeopoliticsStrait of Hormuz

📊Markets and probabilities

40+

$349.5K vol
Yes
100.0%
No
0.0%

30+

$182.0K vol
Yes
97.0%
No
2.9%

60+

$103.3K vol
No
86.0%
Yes
14.0%

80+

$40.3K vol
No
96.0%
Yes
4.0%

100+

$22.5K vol
No
98.9%
Yes
1.1%

50+

$6.2K vol
No
69.5%
Yes
30.5%
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31? — Polymarket implied odds · TrackerSino · TrackerSino