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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, …

24h volume
$646.0K
Total volume
$13.3M
Liquidity
$832.2K
Markets
1
31 de jul. de 2026
PoliticsshipsIranIran CeasefireStrait of HormuzOilEconomyGeopolitics

📊Markets and probabilities

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

$13.3M vol
No
95.5%
Yes
4.5%
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? — Polymarket implied odds · TrackerSino · TrackerSino