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OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

This market will resolve to "OpenAI + Anthropic" if the combined private market valuation of Anthropic and OpenAI is larger than Google's market capitalization on December 31, 2026, or to "Google" if Google's market capitalization exceeds that combined valuation. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are …

24h volume

$609

Total volume

$1.2K

Liquidity

$12.1K

Markets

1 de jan. de 2027

FinancePrivatesGeminiClaudeBig TechDario AmodeiAIchatgptOpenAIsam altman

📊Markets and probabilities

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

$1.2K vol

Google—

94.0%

OpenAI + Anthropic—

6.0%

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).