Tech⏱ closes in 5mo

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for t…

24h volume

$14.4K

Total volume

$809.4K

Liquidity

$153.1K

Markets

1 jan. 2027

FinancePrivatesllmBig TechAIchatgptsam altmanOpenAIOpenAI IPO

📊Markets and probabilities

↑$2.0T

$94.9K vol

No—

89.5%

Yes—

10.5%

↓$750B

$86.2K vol

No—

78.5%

Yes—

21.5%

↑$900B

$84.9K vol

Yes—

94.5%

No—

5.5%

↑$1.0T

$74.4K vol

Yes—

77.5%

No—

22.5%

↑$1.5T

$72.3K vol

No—

68.0%

Yes—

32.0%

↓$800B

$68.2K vol

No—

63.5%

Yes—

36.5%

↑$1.25T

$58.4K vol

No—

52.5%

Yes—

47.5%

↑$1.75T

$51.4K vol

No—

80.0%

Yes—

20.0%

↑$2.5T

$46.9K vol

No—

91.5%

Yes—

8.5%

↓$700B

$43.5K vol

No—

79.5%

Yes—

20.5%

↓$600B

$37.1K vol

No—

84.5%

Yes—

15.5%

↓$500B

$35.5K vol

No—

91.5%

Yes—

8.5%

↑$3.0T

$26.1K vol

No—

94.5%

Yes—

5.5%

↑$4.0T

$17.0K vol

No—

94.5%

Yes—

5.5%

↑$5.0T

$12.6K vol

No—

98.0%

Yes—

1.9%

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).