Andy Burnham
$1.6M volYes—
98.9%
No—
1.1%
Politics⏱ closes in 5mo
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the re…
24h volume
$92.3K
Total volume
$16.2M
Liquidity
$2.9M
Markets
61
31 dec. 2026
PoliticsWorldEnglandPMUKStarmerMain ElectionUK Labour Leadership
📊Markets and probabilities
Nigel Farage
$1.3M volNo—
99.7%
Yes—
0.4%
Rupert Lowe
$1.1M volNo—
100.0%
Yes—
0.1%
No Next PM in 2026
$1.0M volNo—
99.9%
Yes—
0.1%
Angela Rayner
$962.3K volNo—
99.9%
Yes—
0.1%
Wes Streeting
$929.9K volNo—
100.0%
Yes—
0.1%
Darren Jones
$869.0K volNo—
99.9%
Yes—
0.1%
Shabana Mahmood
$823.2K volNo—
99.9%
Yes—
0.1%
Yvette Cooper
$798.1K volNo—
99.9%
Yes—
0.1%
David Lammy
$792.9K volNo—
100.0%
Yes—
0.1%
Rachel Reeves
$771.3K volNo—
100.0%
Yes—
0.1%
Ed Miliband
$736.9K volNo—
100.0%
Yes—
0.1%
Al Carns
$733.1K volNo—
99.9%
Yes—
0.1%
Kemi Badenoch
$673.3K volNo—
100.0%
Yes—
0.1%
Lucy Powell
$635.3K volNo—
100.0%
Yes—
0.1%
Ed Davey
$582.6K volNo—
100.0%
Yes—
0.1%
Robert Jenrick
$502.3K volNo—
100.0%
Yes—
0.1%
James Cleverly
$422.6K volNo—
100.0%
Yes—
0.1%
Boris Johnson
$374.4K volNo—
100.0%
Yes—
0.1%
Bridget Phillipson
$266.7K volNo—
100.0%
Yes—
0.1%
John Healey
$218.9K volNo—
100.0%
Yes—
0.1%
OG Anunoby Jr.
$5.8K volNo—
100.0%
Yes—
0.1%
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How to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).