1470+
$40.2K volYes—
76.5%
No—
23.5%
Tech⏱ closes in 5mo
Next GPT Model: Text Arena Debut?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next OpenAI GPT model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will …
24h volume
$27.5K
Total volume
$143.0K
Liquidity
$82.5K
Markets
7
31 dec. 2026
AI5.6gptTechDebutGPT-5.6
📊Markets and probabilities
1490+
$37.2K volNo—
70.5%
Yes—
29.5%
1500+
$18.4K volNo—
93.3%
Yes—
6.7%
1480+
$15.4K volNo—
53.0%
Yes—
47.0%
1450+
$13.2K volYes—
98.7%
No—
1.4%
1460+
$9.8K volYes—
94.6%
No—
5.4%
1520+
$8.7K volNo—
97.9%
Yes—
2.1%
How to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).