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Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5…

24h volume

Total volume

$2.6K

Liquidity

$8.5K

Markets

31 dec. 2026

AITechClaudeSonnetAnthropic

📊Markets and probabilities

December 31

$2.3K vol

Yes—

86.5%

No—

13.5%

August 31

$200 vol

No—

75.0%

Yes—

25.0%

October 31

$85 vol

No—

55.5%

Yes—

44.5%

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).