June 30, 2026
$220.2K volNo—
100.0%
Yes—
0.0%
Tech● closed
GPT-6 released by…?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups…
24h volume
$21.3K
Total volume
$432.7K
Liquidity
$37.5K
Markets
6
31 dec. 2025
OpenAIGPT-5Big TechAITechsam altman
📊Markets and probabilities
December 31, 2025
$107.9K volNo—
100.0%
Yes—
0.0%
December 31, 2026
$49.6K volYes—
73.5%
No—
26.5%
September 30, 2026
$29.6K volYes—
50.0%
No—
50.0%
July 31, 2026
$25.4K volNo—
97.8%
Yes—
2.3%
March 31, 2026
$0 volNo—
100.0%
Yes—
0.0%
How to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).