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Politics⏱ closes in 20d

Fed Decision in July?

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate …

24h volume
$2.4M
Total volume
$45.9M
Liquidity
$2.8M
Markets
5
29 juli 2026
Economic PolicyEconomyJerome PowellfomcFedFed RatesPolitics

📊Markets and probabilities

No change

$11.7M vol
Yes
75.5%
No
24.5%

25 bps increase

$10.8M vol
No
76.1%
Yes
23.9%

50+ bps increase

$8.3M vol
No
99.4%
Yes
0.7%

50+ bps decrease

$7.9M vol
No
99.9%
Yes
0.1%

25 bps decrease

$7.2M vol
No
99.3%
Yes
0.8%
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).

Fed Decision in July? — Polymarket implied odds · TrackerSino · TrackerSino