≤2.9%
$4.2K volNo—
88.5%
Yes—
11.5%
Economy⏱ closes in 6mo
2026 World GDP Growth
This Market will resolve according to the estimate of the World GDP growth rate (Real GDP, annual percent change) reported by the International Monetary Fund in the World Economic Outlook Update released between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, expected to be released in January 2…
24h volume
$117
Total volume
$19.9K
Liquidity
$14.2K
Markets
9
15 jan. 2027
EconomyGDPMacro IndicatorsGlobal GDPIMF
📊Markets and probabilities
3.4%
$3.9K volNo—
92.3%
Yes—
7.8%
3.3%
$3.7K volNo—
83.2%
Yes—
16.8%
3.5%
$3.3K volNo—
93.9%
Yes—
6.1%
3.2%
$1.8K volNo—
83.4%
Yes—
16.7%
3.1%
$835 volNo—
87.9%
Yes—
12.1%
3.7%+
$825 volNo—
95.0%
Yes—
5.0%
3.0%
$699 volNo—
61.1%
Yes—
38.9%
3.6%
$635 volNo—
95.0%
Yes—
5.0%
How to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).