football · world-cup
BetaWhich continent will win the World Cup?
Total volume: $9.15M·Liquidity: $303.9K
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Outcomes — Polymarket implied probability
| # | Outcome | Prob % | Decimal odds | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Europe (UEFA) | 75.5% | 1.32 | $1.07M |
| 2 | South America (CONMEBOL) | 22.5% | 4.44 | $736.6K |
| 3 | Africa (CAF) | 2.8% | 36.36 | $2.07M |
How to read
Each outcome has a YES-share price between $0 and $1 which is the implied probability the outcome occurs. A $0.33 price → 33% probability → decimal odds 3.03. Unlike a sportsbook, Polymarket applies no margin (vig) — the probabilities of mutually-exclusive outcomes sum close to 100% (clean).