December 31
$1.3M volNoβ
100.0%
Yesβ
0.0%
Politicsβ closed
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
This is a market on the likelihood of Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by a specific date.
24h volume
$68.9K
Total volume
$7.5M
Liquidity
$245.8K
Markets
14
31 Dec 2025
UkrainePoliticsWorldGeopoliticsRussia CaptureUkraine Map
πMarkets and probabilities
March 31, 2026
$965.8K volNoβ
100.0%
Yesβ
0.0%
December 31, 2026
$917.5K volYesβ
93.3%
Noβ
6.7%
August 31
$820.5K volNoβ
100.0%
Yesβ
0.0%
June 30, 2026
$749.5K volNoβ
100.0%
Yesβ
0.0%
October 31
$701.1K volNoβ
100.0%
Yesβ
0.0%
January 31, 2026
$496.6K volNoβ
100.0%
Yesβ
0.0%
February 28, 2026
$486.2K volNoβ
100.0%
Yesβ
0.0%
September 30, 2026
$258.3K volYesβ
84.0%
Noβ
16.0%
November 30
$229.5K volNoβ
100.0%
Yesβ
0.0%
April 30, 2026
$223.8K volNoβ
100.0%
Yesβ
0.0%
September 30
$163.8K volNoβ
100.0%
Yesβ
0.0%
July 31, 2026
$102.5K volNoβ
64.0%
Yesβ
36.0%
May 31, 2026
$69.9K volNoβ
100.0%
Yesβ
0.0%
How to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The β²/βΌ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).