Tech⏱ closes in 18mo

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offerin…

24h volume

$14

Total volume

$221.2K

Liquidity

$12.9K

Markets

31 Dec 2027

sam altmanOpenAIBusinessIPOsIPOFinanceAIClaude 5OpenAI IPOAnthropic IPO

📊Markets and probabilities

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

$221.2K vol

Anthropic—

87.5%

OpenAI—

12.5%

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).