OpenAI
$514.3K volNoβ
94.7%
Yesβ
5.3%
Techβ± closes in 22d
Which company has best AI model end of July?
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https:β¦
24h volume
$156.7K
Total volume
$5.1M
Liquidity
$2.1M
Markets
26
31 Jul 2026
TechAIGPT-5.6
πMarkets and probabilities
Anthropic
$493.3K volYesβ
84.0%
Noβ
16.0%
xAI
$444.1K volNoβ
99.7%
Yesβ
0.4%
Meta
$424.4K volNoβ
99.9%
Yesβ
0.1%
Noβ
89.6%
Yesβ
10.4%
DeepSeek
$360.0K volNoβ
100.0%
Yesβ
0.1%
Microsoft
$344.0K volNoβ
100.0%
Yesβ
0.1%
Moonshot
$314.3K volNoβ
100.0%
Yesβ
0.1%
Z.ai
$312.6K volNoβ
100.0%
Yesβ
0.1%
Alibaba
$305.5K volNoβ
100.0%
Yesβ
0.1%
ByteDance
$288.9K volNoβ
100.0%
Yesβ
0.1%
Baidu
$279.9K volNoβ
100.0%
Yesβ
0.1%
Meituan
$264.5K volNoβ
100.0%
Yesβ
0.1%
Amazon
$188.1K volNoβ
100.0%
Yesβ
0.1%
Mistral
$172.5K volNoβ
100.0%
Yesβ
0.1%
Company C
$0 volPrices not yet synced
Company D
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Company E
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Company F
$0 volPrices not yet synced
Company G
$0 volPrices not yet synced
Company H
$0 volPrices not yet synced
Company I
$0 volPrices not yet synced
Company K
$0 volPrices not yet synced
Other
$0 volPrices not yet synced
Company A
$0 volPrices not yet synced
Company B
$0 volPrices not yet synced
How to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The β²/βΌ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).