Anthropic
$10.5K volYesβ
86.0%
Noβ
14.0%
Techβ± closes in 22d
Which company has #1 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderbβ¦
24h volume
$8.0K
Total volume
$80.9K
Liquidity
$126.6K
Markets
26
31 Jul 2026
TechAIGPT-5.6
πMarkets and probabilities
Noβ
93.5%
Yesβ
6.5%
Alibaba
$5.6K volNoβ
99.8%
Yesβ
0.3%
DeepSeek
$5.3K volNoβ
99.8%
Yesβ
0.3%
Microsoft
$5.2K volNoβ
99.7%
Yesβ
0.4%
OpenAI
$5.1K volNoβ
95.3%
Yesβ
4.7%
Mistral
$5.1K volNoβ
99.9%
Yesβ
0.1%
Moonshot
$4.9K volNoβ
99.9%
Yesβ
0.1%
Z.ai
$4.9K volNoβ
99.9%
Yesβ
0.1%
Baidu
$4.5K volNoβ
99.8%
Yesβ
0.2%
ByteDance
$4.5K volNoβ
99.9%
Yesβ
0.1%
Amazon
$4.5K volNoβ
99.9%
Yesβ
0.1%
Meituan
$4.1K volNoβ
99.9%
Yesβ
0.1%
xAI
$4.0K volNoβ
99.3%
Yesβ
0.7%
Meta
$3.4K volNoβ
99.7%
Yesβ
0.4%
Company E
$0 volPrices not yet synced
Company F
$0 volPrices not yet synced
Company G
$0 volPrices not yet synced
Company H
$0 volPrices not yet synced
Company I
$0 volPrices not yet synced
Company K
$0 volPrices not yet synced
Other
$0 volPrices not yet synced
Company A
$0 volPrices not yet synced
Company B
$0 volPrices not yet synced
Company C
$0 volPrices not yet synced
Company D
$0 volPrices not yet synced
How to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The β²/βΌ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).