UK Recession in 2026?
$6.4K volNo—
81.5%
Yes—
18.5%
Economy⏱ closes in 8mo
UK Recession in 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Kingdom’s seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter percent change in real GDP, as reported by the Office for National Statistics, is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q1 and Q4 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market includes estimat…
24h volume
$56
Total volume
$6.4K
Liquidity
$3.8K
Markets
1
31 Mar 2027
EconomyGDPUnited KingdomMacro Indicators
📊Markets and probabilities
How to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).