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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and August 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk…

24h volume
$97.0K
Total volume
$213.5K
Liquidity
$144.9K
Markets
1
31 Aug 2026
OilIranPoliticsGeopoliticsStrait of Hormuz

📊Markets and probabilities

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

$213.5K vol
No
81.5%
Yes
18.5%
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? — Polymarket implied odds · TrackerSino · TrackerSino