Politics⏱ closes in 5mo

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the re…

24h volume

$92.3K

Total volume

$16.2M

Liquidity

$2.9M

Markets

31 Dec 2026

PoliticsWorldEnglandPMUKStarmerMain ElectionUK Labour Leadership

📊Markets and probabilities

Andy Burnham

$1.6M vol

Yes—

98.9%

No—

1.1%

Nigel Farage

$1.3M vol

No—

99.7%

Yes—

0.4%

Rupert Lowe

$1.1M vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.1%

No Next PM in 2026

$1.0M vol

No—

99.9%

Yes—

0.1%

Angela Rayner

$962.3K vol

No—

99.9%

Yes—

0.1%

Wes Streeting

$929.9K vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.1%

Darren Jones

$869.0K vol

No—

99.9%

Yes—

0.1%

Shabana Mahmood

$823.2K vol

No—

99.9%

Yes—

0.1%

Yvette Cooper

$798.1K vol

No—

99.9%

Yes—

0.1%

David Lammy

$792.9K vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.1%

Rachel Reeves

$771.3K vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.1%

Ed Miliband

$736.9K vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.1%

Al Carns

$733.1K vol

No—

99.9%

Yes—

0.1%

Kemi Badenoch

$673.3K vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.1%

Lucy Powell

$635.3K vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.1%

Ed Davey

$582.6K vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.1%

Robert Jenrick

$502.3K vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.1%

James Cleverly

$422.6K vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.1%

Boris Johnson

$374.4K vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.1%

Bridget Phillipson

$266.7K vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.1%

John Healey

$218.9K vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.1%

OG Anunoby Jr.

$5.8K vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.1%

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How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).