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Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue.(see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks). T…

24h volume
$246.5K
Total volume
$5.2M
Liquidity
$273.8K
Markets
5
31 Jul 2026
IranTrumpVanceUS-IranPoliticsPeace DealGeopoliticsU.S. x IranIran Ceasefiremeeting

📊Markets and probabilities

July 3

$2.5M vol
No
100.0%
Yes
0.0%

July 10

$1.5M vol
No
98.8%
Yes
1.3%

July 31

$716.5K vol
No
51.0%
Yes
49.0%

July 17

$445.8K vol
No
81.0%
Yes
19.0%

June 26

$117.3K vol
No
100.0%
Yes
0.0%
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? — Polymarket implied odds · TrackerSino · TrackerSino