Politics⏱ closes in 5mo

Iran leader end of 2026?

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at…

24h volume

$793.6K

Total volume

$19.0M

Liquidity

$1.9M

Markets

123

31 Dec 2026

Middle EastIranWorldGeopoliticsPoliticsIran RegimeRewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec

📊Markets and probabilities

Mojtaba Khamenei

$3.0M vol

Yes—

82.7%

No—

17.3%

Alireza Arafi

$2.1M vol

No—

98.7%

Yes—

1.4%

Hassan Khomeini

$1.2M vol

No—

99.4%

Yes—

0.7%

Mohammad Khatami

$1.1M vol

No—

99.9%

Yes—

0.1%

No Head of State

$991.9K vol

No—

97.5%

Yes—

2.5%

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad

$950.9K vol

No—

99.8%

Yes—

0.3%

Masoud Pezeshkian

$791.3K vol

No—

99.1%

Yes—

0.9%

Hassan Rouhani

$765.0K vol

No—

99.6%

Yes—

0.4%

Maryam Rajavi

$700.4K vol

No—

99.8%

Yes—

0.3%

Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf

$692.1K vol

No—

96.9%

Yes—

3.1%

Abbas Araghchi

$626.7K vol

No—

98.9%

Yes—

1.1%

Ahmad Vahidi

$506.9K vol

No—

99.3%

Yes—

0.8%

Sadegh Larijani

$493.3K vol

No—

99.8%

Yes—

0.3%

Mostafa Pourmohammadi

$457.1K vol

No—

99.8%

Yes—

0.2%

Seyed Hossein Mousavian

$408.0K vol

No—

99.7%

Yes—

0.3%

Muhammad Mirbaqiri

$396.8K vol

No—

99.8%

Yes—

0.3%

Reza Pahlavi

$389.9K vol

No—

96.6%

Yes—

3.4%

Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel

$388.7K vol

No—

99.9%

Yes—

0.1%

Massoud Rajavi

$364.4K vol

No—

99.8%

Yes—

0.3%

Ali Asghar Hejazi

$316.2K vol

No—

99.8%

Yes—

0.3%

Hassan Shariatmadari

$277.5K vol

No—

99.8%

Yes—

0.3%

Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani

$269.6K vol

No—

99.9%

Yes—

0.1%

Mohsen Araki

$239.2K vol

No—

99.9%

Yes—

0.1%

Ali Larijani

$236.9K vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.0%

Ali Motahari

$224.6K vol

No—

99.8%

Yes—

0.3%

Nasir Hosseini

$212.5K vol

No—

99.9%

Yes—

0.1%

Sadegh Mahsouli

$205.6K vol

No—

99.9%

Yes—

0.1%

Navid Shomali

$180.1K vol

No—

99.8%

Yes—

0.3%

Saeed Jalili

$167.3K vol

No—

99.8%

Yes—

0.3%

Mustafa Hijri

$140.0K vol

No—

99.9%

Yes—

0.1%

Reza Pirzadeh

$115.4K vol

No—

99.8%

Yes—

0.3%

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cy

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cz

$0 vol

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Other

$0 vol

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Mohammad Pakpour

$0 vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.0%

o

$0 vol

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$0 vol

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How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).