0 (0 bps)
$5.8M volYesβ
77.5%
Noβ
22.6%
Economyβ± closes in 5mo
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 202β¦
24h volume
$97.8K
Total volume
$41.0M
Liquidity
$3.3M
Markets
13
31 Dec 2026
Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 DeprecFed RatesEconomic PolicyFedBusinessJerome PowellEconomyFinance
πMarkets and probabilities
11 (275 bps)
$4.6M volNoβ
99.9%
Yesβ
0.1%
10 (250 bps)
$4.4M volNoβ
99.8%
Yesβ
0.3%
9 (225 bps)
$3.7M volNoβ
99.8%
Yesβ
0.3%
6 (150 bps)
$3.4M volNoβ
99.8%
Yesβ
0.3%
12+ (300+ bps)
$3.4M volNoβ
99.7%
Yesβ
0.4%
8 (200 bps)
$2.7M volNoβ
99.8%
Yesβ
0.3%
7 (175 bps)
$2.6M volNoβ
99.8%
Yesβ
0.3%
5 (125 bps)
$2.2M volNoβ
99.8%
Yesβ
0.3%
3 (75 bps)
$2.1M volNoβ
98.2%
Yesβ
1.8%
4 (100 bps)
$2.0M volNoβ
99.7%
Yesβ
0.4%
2 (50 bps)
$2.0M volNoβ
96.5%
Yesβ
3.5%
1 (25 bps)
$2.0M volNoβ
84.5%
Yesβ
15.5%
How to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The β²/βΌ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).