Economy⏱ closes in 2mo

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (…

24h volume

$33.0K

Total volume

$121.6K

Liquidity

$67.6K

Markets

16 Sept 2026

FedfomcEconomyParlaysFed RatesJerome Powell

📊Markets and probabilities

Pause–Pause–Pause

$62.3K vol

Yes—

55.0%

No—

45.0%

Other

$36.4K vol

No—

58.5%

Yes—

41.5%

Pause–Pause–Cut

$5.9K vol

No—

93.6%

Yes—

6.4%

Pause–Cut–Pause

$5.0K vol

No—

98.9%

Yes—

1.1%

Pause–Cut–Cut

$4.5K vol

No—

99.5%

Yes—

0.5%

Cut–Pause–Pause

$2.2K vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.0%

Cut–Pause–Cut

$2.2K vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.0%

Cut–Cut–Cut

$1.9K vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.0%

Cut–Cut–Pause

$1.3K vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.0%

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).