football · world-cup
BetaWorld Cup: Nation to Reach Final
Total volume: $10.04M·Liquidity: $2.87M·Resolves: 2026/7/20
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スポーツ比較はベータ版です
実際の試合を ESPN から取得。DraftKings のライブオッズ提供中、他の US ブックも順次追加。crypto スポーツブック (Cloudbet, Stake, Roobet, Sportsbet.io) は次段階。プレマッチのみ。
Outcomes — Polymarket implied probability
| # | Outcome | Prob % | Decimal odds | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 52.5% | 1.90 | $744.8K |
| 2 | Argentina | 35.5% | 2.82 | $703.4K |
| 3 | England | 35.5% | 2.82 | $398.0K |
| 4 | Spain | 34.5% | 2.90 | $179.3K |
| 5 | Norway | 14.6% | 6.85 | $377.6K |
| 6 | Colombia | 10.5% | 9.48 | $189.0K |
| 7 | Morocco | 8.9% | 11.17 | $301.0K |
| 8 | Belgium | 7.1% | 13.99 | $136.0K |
| 9 | Switzerland | 4.1% | 24.39 | $93.3K |
| 10 | Egypt | 1.1% | 95.24 | $134.0K |
How to read
Each outcome has a YES-share price between $0 and $1 which is the implied probability the outcome occurs. A $0.33 price → 33% probability → decimal odds 3.03. Unlike a sportsbook, Polymarket applies no margin (vig) — the probabilities of mutually-exclusive outcomes sum close to 100% (clean).