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Politics⏱ closes in 5mo

Iran leader end of 2026?

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at…

24h volume
$793.6K
Total volume
$19.0M
Liquidity
$1.9M
Markets
123
2026年12月31日
Middle EastIranWorldGeopoliticsPoliticsIran RegimeRewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec

📊Markets and probabilities

Mojtaba Khamenei

$3.0M vol
Yes
82.7%
No
17.3%

Alireza Arafi

$2.1M vol
No
98.7%
Yes
1.4%

Hassan Khomeini

$1.2M vol
No
99.4%
Yes
0.7%

Mohammad Khatami

$1.1M vol
No
99.9%
Yes
0.1%

No Head of State

$991.9K vol
No
97.5%
Yes
2.5%

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad

$950.9K vol
No
99.8%
Yes
0.3%

Masoud Pezeshkian

$791.3K vol
No
99.1%
Yes
0.9%

Hassan Rouhani

$765.0K vol
No
99.6%
Yes
0.4%

Maryam Rajavi

$700.4K vol
No
99.8%
Yes
0.3%

Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf

$692.1K vol
No
96.9%
Yes
3.1%

Abbas Araghchi

$626.7K vol
No
98.9%
Yes
1.1%

Ahmad Vahidi

$506.9K vol
No
99.3%
Yes
0.8%

Sadegh Larijani

$493.3K vol
No
99.8%
Yes
0.3%

Mostafa Pourmohammadi

$457.1K vol
No
99.8%
Yes
0.2%

Seyed Hossein Mousavian

$408.0K vol
No
99.7%
Yes
0.3%

Muhammad Mirbaqiri

$396.8K vol
No
99.8%
Yes
0.3%

Reza Pahlavi

$389.9K vol
No
96.6%
Yes
3.4%

Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel

$388.7K vol
No
99.9%
Yes
0.1%

Massoud Rajavi

$364.4K vol
No
99.8%
Yes
0.3%

Ali Asghar Hejazi

$316.2K vol
No
99.8%
Yes
0.3%

Hassan Shariatmadari

$277.5K vol
No
99.8%
Yes
0.3%

Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani

$269.6K vol
No
99.9%
Yes
0.1%

Mohsen Araki

$239.2K vol
No
99.9%
Yes
0.1%

Ali Larijani

$236.9K vol
No
100.0%
Yes
0.0%

Ali Motahari

$224.6K vol
No
99.8%
Yes
0.3%

Nasir Hosseini

$212.5K vol
No
99.9%
Yes
0.1%

Sadegh Mahsouli

$205.6K vol
No
99.9%
Yes
0.1%

Navid Shomali

$180.1K vol
No
99.8%
Yes
0.3%

Saeed Jalili

$167.3K vol
No
99.8%
Yes
0.3%

Mustafa Hijri

$140.0K vol
No
99.9%
Yes
0.1%

Reza Pirzadeh

$115.4K vol
No
99.8%
Yes
0.3%

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Other

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Mohammad Pakpour

$0 vol
No
100.0%
Yes
0.0%

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How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).

Iran leader end of 2026? — Polymarket implied odds · TrackerSino · TrackerSino