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Politics⏱ chiude in 23d

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Transit calls include cont…

Volume 24h
$137.8K
Volume totale
$703.5K
Liquidità
$258.6K
Mercati
6
31 lug 2026
OilIranTrumpHormuzGeopoliticsStrait of Hormuz

📊Mercati e probabilità

40+

$349.5K vol
Yes
100.0%
No
0.0%

30+

$182.0K vol
Yes
97.0%
No
2.9%

60+

$103.3K vol
No
86.0%
Yes
14.0%

80+

$40.3K vol
No
96.0%
Yes
4.0%

100+

$22.5K vol
No
98.9%
Yes
1.1%

50+

$6.2K vol
No
69.5%
Yes
30.5%
Come leggere

La percentuale è la probabilità implicita che l'esito si realizzi, tra 0% e 100%. Per mercati mutualmente esclusivi la somma tende a 100% (nessuna vig). Il triangolino ▲/▼ mostra il cambio nelle ultime 24h in punti percentuali (pp).

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31? — probabilità Polymarket · TrackerSino · TrackerSino