Politics⏱ chiude in 5mo

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited …

Volume 24h

$88.5K

Volume totale

$38.2M

Liquidità

$833.5K

Mercati

31 dic 2026

PoliticsWorldGeopoliticsForeign PolicyChinaEarn 4%

📊Mercati e probabilità

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

$38.2M vol

No—

95.8%

Yes—

4.3%

Come leggere

La percentuale è la probabilità implicita che l'esito si realizzi, tra 0% e 100%. Per mercati mutualmente esclusivi la somma tende a 100% (nessuna vig). Il triangolino ▲/▼ mostra il cambio nelle ultime 24h in punti percentuali (pp).