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US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, including a 60-day extendable period in which both countries committed to negotiate toward a “final deal” regarding Iran’s nuclear program and other topics. This market resolves to “Yes” if a qualifying written diplomatic instrument…

Volume 24h
$1.0M
Volume totale
$8.5M
Liquidità
$1.4M
Mercati
7
31 ago 2026
IranUS-IranPeace DealGeopoliticsMiddle EastIran Ceasefire

📊Mercati e probabilità

June 30

$3.2M vol
No
100.0%
Yes
0.0%

August 31

$2.4M vol
No
87.5%
Yes
12.5%

August 18

$990.6K vol
No
89.5%
Yes
10.5%

July 31

$769.9K vol
No
99.0%
Yes
1.0%

December 31

$507.0K vol
No
63.5%
Yes
36.5%

September 30

$462.2K vol
No
81.5%
Yes
18.5%

August 13

$260.2K vol
No
97.7%
Yes
2.3%
Come leggere

La percentuale è la probabilità implicita che l'esito si realizzi, tra 0% e 100%. Per mercati mutualmente esclusivi la somma tende a 100% (nessuna vig). Il triangolino ▲/▼ mostra il cambio nelle ultime 24h in punti percentuali (pp).

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? — probabilità Polymarket · TrackerSino · TrackerSino