Economy⏱ chiude in 6mo

US economic state at the end of 2026?

The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force, denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release. The inflation rate is defined as the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Ind…

Volume 24h

Volume totale

$29.1K

Liquidità

$24.5K

Mercati

31 gen 2027

EconomyCPIunemploymentInflation

📊Mercati e probabilità

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$14.3K vol

No—

62.0%

Yes—

38.0%

Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)

$12.9K vol

No—

61.0%

Yes—

39.0%

Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$922 vol

No—

88.0%

Yes—

12.0%

Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)

$903 vol

No—

90.2%

Yes—

9.8%

Come leggere

La percentuale è la probabilità implicita che l'esito si realizzi, tra 0% e 100%. Per mercati mutualmente esclusivi la somma tende a 100% (nessuna vig). Il triangolino ▲/▼ mostra il cambio nelle ultime 24h in punti percentuali (pp).