Politics⏱ chiude in 5mo

US announces blockade on Iran by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the imposition of a naval blockade on Iran, or on ships traveling to or from Iranian ports, or on ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz, between market cr…

Volume 24h

$372.6K

Volume totale

$1.2M

Liquidità

$141.5K

Mercati

31 dic 2026

IranTrumpBlockadePoliticsshippingPeace DealGeopoliticsU.S. x Iran

📊Mercati e probabilità

July 31

$519.6K vol

No—

70.5%

Yes—

29.5%

June 30

$503.0K vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.0%

December 31

$173.5K vol

No—

53.0%

Yes—

47.0%

August 31

$9.9K vol

No—

64.5%

Yes—

35.5%

Come leggere

La percentuale è la probabilità implicita che l'esito si realizzi, tra 0% e 100%. Per mercati mutualmente esclusivi la somma tende a 100% (nessuna vig). Il triangolino ▲/▼ mostra il cambio nelle ultime 24h in punti percentuali (pp).