Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by March 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupy…

Volume 24h

$539.4K

Volume totale

$61.6M

Liquidità

$219.6K

Mercati

31 mar 2026

Iran RegimeIranMojtaba KhameneiKhameneiGeopoliticsKharg IslandStrait of HormuzU.S. x IranIran Ceasefire

📊Mercati e probabilità

April 30

$17.4M vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.0%

June 30

$13.5M vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.0%

May 31

$11.2M vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.0%

April 15

$8.4M vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.0%

March 31

$7.8M vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.0%

July 31

$1.6M vol

No—

97.0%

Yes—

3.0%

June 24

$1.1M vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.0%

August 31

$673.5K vol

No—

94.8%

Yes—

5.2%

Come leggere

La percentuale è la probabilità implicita che l'esito si realizzi, tra 0% e 100%. Per mercati mutualmente esclusivi la somma tende a 100% (nessuna vig). Il triangolino ▲/▼ mostra il cambio nelle ultime 24h in punti percentuali (pp).