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Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as IMF…

Volume 24h
$68.5K
Volume totale
$5.5M
Liquidità
$67.8K
Mercati
7
30 giu 2026
PoliticshouthiIrantrafficStrait of HormuzOilGeopoliticsRegional Spillovershippingred seacape of good hopeHouthis

📊Mercati e probabilità

April 30

$1.7M vol
No
100.0%
Yes
0.0%

May 31

$1.3M vol
No
100.0%
Yes
0.0%

June 30

$1.2M vol
No
100.0%
Yes
0.0%

September 30

$568.5K vol
No
86.5%
Yes
13.5%

March 31

$330.3K vol
No
100.0%
Yes
0.0%

June 15

$221.1K vol
No
100.0%
Yes
0.0%

June 22

$129.3K vol
No
100.0%
Yes
0.0%
Come leggere

La percentuale è la probabilità implicita che l'esito si realizzi, tra 0% e 100%. Per mercati mutualmente esclusivi la somma tende a 100% (nessuna vig). Il triangolino ▲/▼ mostra il cambio nelle ultime 24h in punti percentuali (pp).

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? — probabilità Polymarket · TrackerSino · TrackerSino