US bank failure by December 31, 2026?
$844 volYes—
59.0%
No—
41.0%
Economy⏱ closes in 5mo
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market…
24h volume
$110
Total volume
$844
Liquidity
$4.5K
Markets
1
31 दिस॰ 2026
banksEconomyFinanceBusinessbanking industry
📊Markets and probabilities
How to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).