July 15
$401.6K volNo—
94.8%
Yes—
5.2%
Politics⏱ closes in 1mo
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?
This market resolves to “Yes” if the Iranian government officially announces and begins collecting fees, tolls, charges, tariffs, or similar payments from commercial vessels which are mandatory for passage through or access to the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, …
24h volume
$233.1K
Total volume
$659.5K
Liquidity
$176.3K
Markets
5
31 अग॰ 2026
IrantollGeopoliticsStrait of Hormuz
📊Markets and probabilities
August 31
$182.5K volNo—
57.0%
Yes—
43.0%
July 31
$50.6K volNo—
88.0%
Yes—
12.0%
October 31
$24.8K volYes—
57.0%
No—
43.0%
December 31
$0 volYes—
73.0%
No—
27.0%
How to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).