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Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/Sp…

24h volume

$14

Total volume

$850.6K

Liquidity

$42.4K

Markets

31 déc. 2027

CultureSpaceXSpaceScience

📊Markets and probabilities

December 31, 2026

$850.5K vol

No—

87.9%

Yes—

12.0%

December 31, 2027

$41 vol

Yes—

52.5%

No—

47.5%

June 30, 2027

$1 vol

Yes—

53.5%

No—

46.5%

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).