Politics⏱ closes in 28mo

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nomi…

24h volume

$1.5M

Total volume

$670.7M

Liquidity

$47.3M

Markets

128

7 nov. 2028

United StatesPoliticsUS ElectionElectionsWorld ElectionsGlobal ElectionsEarn 4%Primaries

📊Markets and probabilities

Byron Donalds

$44.2M vol

No—

99.3%

Yes—

0.8%

Mike Pence

$42.5M vol

No—

99.4%

Yes—

0.7%

Kristi Noem

$35.4M vol

No—

99.4%

Yes—

0.7%

John Thune

$35.4M vol

No—

99.4%

Yes—

0.7%

Tom Brady

$32.8M vol

No—

99.2%

Yes—

0.9%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$32.0M vol

No—

99.3%

Yes—

0.8%

Katie Britt

$28.5M vol

No—

99.2%

Yes—

0.9%

Elon Musk

$28.5M vol

No—

99.1%

Yes—

0.9%

Kim Kardashian

$28.1M vol

No—

99.2%

Yes—

0.9%

Elise Stefanik

$27.6M vol

No—

99.3%

Yes—

0.8%

Steve Bannon

$22.5M vol

No—

99.2%

Yes—

0.9%

Greg Abbott

$20.6M vol

No—

99.1%

Yes—

0.9%

Josh Hawley

$20.0M vol

No—

99.2%

Yes—

0.9%

Matt Gaetz

$19.8M vol

No—

99.3%

Yes—

0.8%

Rand Paul

$19.1M vol

No—

99.1%

Yes—

0.9%

Ted Cruz

$18.6M vol

No—

99.1%

Yes—

0.9%

Erika Kirk

$18.6M vol

No—

99.3%

Yes—

0.8%

Brian Kemp

$17.3M vol

No—

99.2%

Yes—

0.9%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$16.5M vol

No—

99.2%

Yes—

0.9%

Vivek Ramaswamy

$15.9M vol

No—

98.8%

Yes—

1.3%

Ron DeSantis

$14.6M vol

No—

97.5%

Yes—

2.5%

J.D. Vance

$14.3M vol

No—

59.6%

Yes—

40.5%

Tulsi Gabbard

$13.5M vol

No—

99.1%

Yes—

0.9%

Tucker Carlson

$11.8M vol

No—

96.5%

Yes—

3.5%

Nikki Haley

$10.1M vol

No—

99.2%

Yes—

0.9%

Eric Trump

$9.7M vol

No—

99.3%

Yes—

0.8%

Marco Rubio

$9.7M vol

No—

74.5%

Yes—

25.6%

Donald Trump Jr.

$9.2M vol

No—

98.9%

Yes—

1.1%

Donald Trump

$9.0M vol

No—

98.9%

Yes—

1.1%

Pete Hegseth

$8.4M vol

No—

99.3%

Yes—

0.8%

Glenn Youngkin

$8.3M vol

No—

99.0%

Yes—

1.1%

Joe Kent

$8.2M vol

No—

99.3%

Yes—

0.8%

Ivanka Trump

$8.0M vol

No—

99.0%

Yes—

1.1%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$6.4M vol

No—

99.1%

Yes—

0.9%

Thomas Massie

$5.7M vol

No—

99.2%

Yes—

0.9%

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Other

$0 vol

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$0 vol

No—

51.0%

Yes—

49.0%

Candace Owens

$0 vol

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$0 vol

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How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).