1440+
$1.8K volYes—
81.0%
No—
19.0%
Tech⏱ closes in 5mo
Next Grok Model: Text Arena Debut?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next xAI Grok model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will re…
24h volume
$6.2K
Total volume
$6.2K
Liquidity
$20.2K
Markets
5
31 déc. 2026
AIxAIGrokTechDebut
📊Markets and probabilities
1480+
$1.4K volNo—
81.0%
Yes—
19.0%
1460+
$1.2K volNo—
63.5%
Yes—
36.5%
1470+
$891 volNo—
75.0%
Yes—
25.0%
1450+
$872 volYes—
68.5%
No—
31.5%
How to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).