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Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This requires a broad consensus of reporting indicating that core structures of the Islamic R…

24h volume

$187.9K

Total volume

$21.5M

Liquidity

$464.7K

Markets

31 dic 2026

Reza PahlaviIran RegimeIranIsraelWorldTrumpKhameneiGeopoliticsPoliticsMiddle East

📊Markets and probabilities

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

$21.5M vol

No—

91.5%

Yes—

8.5%

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).