Tech⏱ closes in 11mo

SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as…

24h volume

$50

Total volume

$2.0K

Liquidity

$10.6K

Markets

30 jun 2027

TechnasaSpaceSpaceXlaunchFloridaBig TechstarshipElon Muskspace exploration

📊Markets and probabilities

December 31, 2026

$1.8K vol

No—

51.5%

Yes—

48.5%

August 31, 2026

$100 vol

No—

97.0%

Yes—

2.9%

June 30, 2027

$91 vol

Yes—

82.5%

No—

17.5%

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).