Japan recession in 2026?
$3.2K volNo—
90.5%
Yes—
9.5%
Economy⏱ closes in 8mo
Japan recession in 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Japan’s seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter percent change in real GDP (Quarterly Real Growth Rate, Seasonally Adjusted Series, Quarter-to-Quarter), as reported by the Cabinet Office, is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026. Otherwise, this marke…
24h volume
$21
Total volume
$3.2K
Liquidity
$1.6K
Markets
1
31 mar 2027
EconomyGDPMacro IndicatorsrecessionJapan
📊Markets and probabilities
How to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).