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Iran full airspace closure by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a general closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “general closure” refers to a cancellation or suspension of aviation which is …

24h volume

$398.1K

Total volume

$1.6M

Liquidity

$108.2K

Markets

31 ago 2026

IrancloseU.S. x IranIsrael x IranIran Ceasefire

📊Markets and probabilities

July 15

$921.5K vol

No—

87.7%

Yes—

12.3%

July 31

$366.1K vol

No—

78.0%

Yes—

22.0%

August 31

$197.0K vol

No—

67.0%

Yes—

33.0%

June 30

$115.1K vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.0%

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).