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Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

This market resolves to “Yes” if the Iranian government officially announces and begins collecting fees, tolls, charges, tariffs, or similar payments from commercial vessels which are mandatory for passage through or access to the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, …

24h volume
$233.1K
Total volume
$659.5K
Liquidity
$176.3K
Markets
5
31 ago 2026
IrantollGeopoliticsStrait of Hormuz

📊Markets and probabilities

July 15

$401.6K vol
No
94.8%
Yes
5.2%

August 31

$182.5K vol
No
57.0%
Yes
43.0%

July 31

$50.6K vol
No
88.0%
Yes
12.0%

October 31

$24.8K vol
Yes
57.0%
No
43.0%

December 31

$0 vol
Yes
73.0%
No
27.0%
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...? — Polymarket implied odds · TrackerSino · TrackerSino