Fed rate cut by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no Ja…

24h volume

$15.7K

Total volume

$2.7M

Liquidity

$367.0K

Markets

17 jun 2026

Jerome PowellFedFed RatesFinanceEconomyEconomic Policy

📊Markets and probabilities

June Meeting

$785.0K vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.0%

January Meeting

$588.1K vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.0%

April Meeting

$543.0K vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.0%

July Meeting

$350.7K vol

No—

99.2%

Yes—

0.8%

December Meeting

$220.8K vol

No—

79.0%

Yes—

21.0%

September Meeting

$164.1K vol

No—

94.6%

Yes—

5.4%

October Meeting

$66.5K vol

No—

86.4%

Yes—

13.7%

March Meeting

$0 vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.0%

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).