Tarcisio de Freitas
$13.4M volNo—
99.9%
Yes—
0.1%
Politics⏱ closes in 2mo
Brazil Presidential Election
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Ot…
24h volume
$235.1K
Total volume
$111.0M
Liquidity
$9.7M
Markets
32
4 oct 2026
PoliticsMacro Election 2Main ElectionBrazilGlobal ElectionsWorld ElectionsWorld
📊Markets and probabilities
Ratinho Júnior
$10.3M volNo—
100.0%
Yes—
0.1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
$10.1M volNo—
99.9%
Yes—
0.1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$8.8M volNo—
98.0%
Yes—
2.1%
Renan Santos
$7.9M volNo—
90.3%
Yes—
9.7%
Eduardo Leite
$7.8M volNo—
100.0%
Yes—
0.1%
Flávio Bolsonaro
$7.3M volNo—
77.8%
Yes—
22.3%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$7.3M volYes—
61.5%
No—
38.5%
Fernando Haddad
$6.1M volNo—
99.2%
Yes—
0.9%
Jair Bolsonaro
$4.9M volNo—
99.6%
Yes—
0.4%
Aldo Rebelo
$4.8M volNo—
99.9%
Yes—
0.1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$4.7M volNo—
99.2%
Yes—
0.9%
Geraldo Alckmin
$4.6M volNo—
99.6%
Yes—
0.4%
Romeu Zema
$4.3M volNo—
99.1%
Yes—
0.9%
Camilo Santana
$3.8M volNo—
98.9%
Yes—
1.1%
Tereza Cristina
$2.8M volNo—
99.9%
Yes—
0.1%
Helder Barbalho
$2.3M volNo—
99.9%
Yes—
0.1%
Person M
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How to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).