July 15
$641.0K volNo—
97.5%
Yes—
2.5%
Politics⏱ closes in 5mo
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the …
24h volume
$91.9K
Total volume
$1.6M
Liquidity
$236.7K
Markets
6
31. Dez. 2026
PoliticsSupreme Court CourtsAlitoSCOTUS
📊Markets and probabilities
December 31
$534.3K volNo—
70.0%
Yes—
30.0%
September 30
$399.9K volNo—
85.5%
Yes—
14.5%
March 31
$27.0K volNo—
100.0%
Yes—
0.0%
February 28
$15.1K volNo—
100.0%
Yes—
0.0%
June 30, 2027
$10.3K volYes—
52.0%
No—
48.0%
How to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).